Approximate Proportionality in Online Fair Division

We study the online fair division problem, where indivisible goods arrive sequentially and must be allocated immediately and irrevocably. Prior work establishes strong impossibility results for approximating classic notions such as envy-freeness up to one good (EF1) and maximin share (MMS) in this setting, but the approximability of proportionality up to one good (PROP1) has remained unresolved. We resolve this gap in two steps. First, we show that three natural greedy allocation rules (standard baselines in fair division) fail to guarantee any multiplicative approximation to PROP1 against an adaptive adversary. These limitations motivate two relaxations: (i) restricting attention to a non-adaptive adversary, and (ii) incorporating coarse predictions in the spirit of learning-augmented algorithms. Under a non-adaptive adversary, we show that the uniform random allocation achieves a meaningful PROP1 approximation with high probability, and this guarantee is essentially tight for this approach; moreover, when item values are sufficiently small, the allocation is near-PROP1 with high probability. Finally, given maximum item value (MIV) predictions, we design an online algorithm that achieves robust approximation guarantees for PROP1, and degrades gracefully under one-sided prediction error. In contrast, we show that EF1, MMS, and PROPX remain inapproximable even with perfect MIV predictions.