Sparse Autoencoders for Hypothesis Generation

We describe HYPOTHESAES, a general method to hypothesize interpretable relationships between text data (e.g., headlines) and a target variable (e.g., clicks). HYPOTHESAES has three steps: (1) train a sparse autoencoder on text embeddings to produce interpretable features describing the data distribution, (2) select features that predict the target variable, and (3) generate a natural language interpretation of each feature (e.g., mentions being surprised or shocked) using an LLM. Each interpretation serves as a hypothesis about what predicts the target variable. Compared to baselines, our method better identifies reference hypotheses on synthetic datasets (at least +0.06 in F1) and produces more predictive hypotheses on real datasets (∼twice as many significant findings), despite requiring 1-2 orders of magnitude less compute than recent LLM-based methods. HYPOTHESAES also produces novel discoveries on two well-studied tasks: explaining partisan differences in Congressional speeches and identifying drivers of engagement with online headlines.