Interventions, Where and How? Experimental Design for Causal Models at Scale
Panagiotis Tigas, Yashas Annadani, Andrew Jesson, Bernhard Schölkopf, Yarin Gal, Stefan Bauer
Abstract
Causal discovery from observational and interventional data is challenging due to limited data and non-identifiability: factors that introduce uncertainty in estimating the underlying structural causal model (SCM). Selecting experiments (interventions) based on the uncertainty arising from both factors can expedite the identification of the SCM. Existing methods in experimental design for causal discovery from limited data either rely on linear assumptions for the SCM or select only the intervention target. This work incorporates recent advances in Bayesian causal discovery into the Bayesian optimal experimental design framework, allowing for active causal discovery of large, nonlinear SCMs while selecting both the interventional target and the value. We demonstrate the performance of the proposed method on synthetic graphs (Erdos-Rènyi, Scale Free) for both linear and nonlinear SCMs as well as on the in-silico single-cell gene regulatory network dataset, DREAM.
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Cited by top-tier papers14
- Active Bayesian Causal InferenceChristian Toth, Lars Lorch, Christian Knoll, Andreas Krause et al.NeurIPS 2022 · 52 citations
- Differentiable Multi-Target Causal Bayesian Experimental DesignPanagiotis Tigas, Yashas Annadani, Desi R. Ivanova, Andrew Jesson et al.ICML 2023 · 15 citations
- Constrained Causal Bayesian OptimizationVirginia Aglietti, Alan Malek, Ira Ktena, Silvia ChiappaICML 2023 · 9 citations
- Intervention Generalization: A View from Factor Graph ModelsGecia Bravo Hermsdorff, David S. Watson, Jialin Yu, Jakob Zeitler et al.NeurIPS 2023 · 7 citations
- Challenges and Considerations in the Evaluation of Bayesian Causal DiscoveryAmir Mohammad Karimi-Mamaghan, Panagiotis Tigas, Karl Henrik Johansson, Yarin Gal et al.ICML 2024 · 6 citations
Builds on9
- A Meta-Transfer Objective for Learning to Disentangle Causal MechanismsYoshua Bengio, Tristan Deleu, Nasim Rahaman, Nan Rosemary Ke et al.ICLR 2020 · 371 citations
- Differentiable Causal Discovery from Interventional DataPhilippe Brouillard, Sébastien Lachapelle, Alexandre Lacoste, Simon Lacoste-Julien et al.NeurIPS 2020 · 295 citations
- Deep Adaptive Design: Amortizing Sequential Bayesian Experimental DesignAdam Foster, Desi R. Ivanova, Ilyas Malik, Tom RainforthICML 2021 · 119 citations
- BCD Nets: Scalable Variational Approaches for Bayesian Causal DiscoveryChris Cundy, Aditya Grover, Stefano ErmonNeurIPS 2021 · 105 citations
- Implicit Deep Adaptive Design: Policy-Based Experimental Design without LikelihoodsDesi R. Ivanova, Adam Foster, Steven Kleinegesse, Michael U. Gutmann et al.NeurIPS 2021 · 81 citations
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