Marionette: Fine-Grained Conditional Generative Modeling of Spatiotemporal Human Trajectory Data Beyond Imitation

Synthetic human trajectory data becoming increasingly prominent in various applications, including urban planning, traffic control, and crowd monitoring. Recent neural generative models for human trajectory data mostly follow an unconditional generative paradigm that relies on a pure data-driven imitative learning scheme, without considering the rich context of human mobility (e.g., social events or weather conditions) which may significantly impact the underlying human mobility patterns. Against this background, we propose Marionette, a Manipulatable generative model for human trajectory data with fine-grained conditions. Specifically, Marionette integrates both global and partial mobility-related contexts and extracts both sequence-level and event-level conditions. Afterward, it designs fine-grained and cascading conditioning mechanisms for modeling the temporal and spatial dynamics based on diffusion-alike Temporal Point Processes (TPPs) and discrete diffusion models, respectively, offering fine-grained controllable generative modeling of human trajectory data with both global and partial mobility-related contexts. We conduct a thorough evaluation on two real-world human trajectory datasets against a sizeable collection of baselines. Results show that our Marionette consistently outperforms the best baselines by 13.96-54.13% on statistical and distributional similarity metrics and by 9.36-40.63% in task-based data utility evaluation. Ablation studies verify our key design choices. Case studies also demonstrate the manipulability of Marionette in generating data in previously unseen scenarios.