GaussTrace: Provenance Analysis of 3D Gaussian Splatting Models with Evidence-based LLM Reasoning

3D Gaussian Splatting (3DGS) is a powerful technique for creating high-fidelity 3D assets. However, the widespread sharing and iterative modification of 3DGS models across digital platforms create pressing challenges for intellectual property protection and forensic traceability. To address this, we propose GaussTrace, a novel framework for constructing directed provenance graphs for 3DGS models. GaussTrace formulates provenance analysis as an evidence-based reasoning problem. It builds upon attribute-wise statistical profiling of 3DGS parameters to capture intrinsic properties. Moreover, we introduce hypothesis-driven editing simulations of common operations to provide auxiliary evidence for plausible transformation pathways. These statistical and simulated cues jointly enable a Large Language Model (LLM) to perform structured Chain-of-Thought (CoT) reasoning, yielding directional provenance inferences and explainable edge reasons. Experimental results demonstrate that GaussTrace effectively constructs evolutionary relationships among diverse 3DGS models, delivering accurate, interpretable, and robust provenance graphs without requiring model training or access to editing histories. Project page: https://haolianghan.github.io/GaussTrace .