Modeling Complex System Dynamics with Flow Matching Across Time and Conditions

Modeling the dynamics of complex real-world systems from temporal snapshot data is crucial for understanding phenomena such as gene regulation, climate change, and financial market fluctuations. Researchers have recently proposed a few methods based either on the Schrödinger Bridge or Flow Matching to tackle this problem, but these approaches remain limited in their ability to effectively combine data from multiple time points and different experimental settings. This integration is essential in real-world scenarios where observations from certain combinations of time points and experimental conditions are missing, either because of experimental costs or sensory failure, and ultimately to uncover general principles shared across different temporal processes. To address this challenge, we propose a novel method named Multi-Marginal Flow Matching (MMFM). MMFM first constructs a flow using smooth spline-based interpolation across time points and conditions and regresses it with a neural network using the classifierfree guided Flow Matching framework. This framework allows for the sharing of contextual information about the dynamics across multiple trajectories. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our method on both synthetic and real-world datasets, including a recent single-cell genomics data set with around a hundred chemical perturbations across time points. Our results show that MMFM significantly outperforms existing methods at imputing data at missing time points.