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ICML2026顶会

One Intervention per Component is Enough: Towards Identifiability in Linear Stochastic Dynamics from Steady State

Saber Salehkaleybar

2026年份

摘要

We study the problem of recovering the parameters of a multivariate Ornstein–Uhlenbeck (OU) process from steady-state observational and interventional data. In many applications, such as large-scale gene perturbation experiments, only stationary “snapshot” measurements are available, making standard stochastic differential equation estimation methods that rely on time-series trajectories inapplicable. We first establish an identifiability result: one intervention per strongly connected component (SCC) of the drift graph suffices to recover all OU process parameters generically up to a global scaling factor. This holds provided that the SCC condensation graph is connected with a single root and certain spectral nondegeneracy assumptions hold. We propose a recursive learning algorithm that orders SCCs topologically and, for each component, isolates its marginal dynamics and solves a linear system derived from the steady-state moment equations, leveraging parameters recovered for upstream components. Building on this theoretical foundation, we propose a regularized least-squares estimator that jointly minimizes residuals of the steady-state mean and covariance equations across observational and interventional data. Experiments on synthetic and real datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our method in recovering parameters and predicting unseen interventions.

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