CausalRD: A Causal View of Rumor Detection via Eliminating Popularity and Conformity Biases

A large amount of disinformation on social media has penetrated into various domains and brought significant adverse effects. Understanding their roots and propagation becomes desired in both academia and industry. Prior literature has developed many algorithms to identify this disinformation, particularly rumor detection. Some leverage the power of deep learning and have achieved promising results. However, they all focused on building predictive models and improving forecast accuracy, while two important factors - popularity and conformity biases - that play critical roles in rumor spreading behaviors are usually neglected.To overcome such an issue and alleviate the bias from these two factors, we propose a rumor detection framework to learn debiased user preference and effective event representation in a causal view. We first build a graph to capture causal relationships among users, events, and their interactions. Then we apply the causal intervention to eliminate popularity and conformity biases and obtain debiased user preference representation. Finally, we leverage the power of graph neural networks to aggregate learned user representation and event features for the final event type classification. Empirical experiments conducted on two real-world datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed approach compared to several cutting-edge baselines.