Cognitive Alpha Mining via LLM-Driven Code-Based Evolution
Fengyuan Liu, Yi Huang, Sichun Luo, Yuqi Wang, Yazheng Yang, Xinye Li, Zefa Hu, Junlan Feng, Qi Liu
摘要
Discovering effective predictive signals, or "alphas," from financial data with high dimensionality and extremely low signal-to-noise ratio remains a difficult open problem. Despite progress in deep learning, genetic programming, and, more recently, large language model (LLM)-based factor generation, existing approaches still explore only a narrow region of the vast alpha search space. Neural models tend to produce opaque and fragile patterns, while symbolic or formula-based methods often yield redundant or economically ungrounded expressions that generalize poorly. Although different in form, these paradigms share a key limitation: none can conduct broad, structured, and human-like exploration that balances logical consistency with creative leaps. To address this gap, we introduce the Cognitive Alpha Mining Framework (CogAlpha), which combines codelevel alpha representation with LLM-driven reasoning and evolutionary search. Treating LLMs as adaptive cognitive agents, our framework iteratively refines, mutates, and recombines alpha candidates through multi-stage prompts and financial feedback. This synergistic design enables deeper thinking, richer structural diversity, and economically interpretable alpha discovery, while greatly expanding the effective search space. Experiments on 5 stock datasets from 3 stock markets demonstrate that CogAlpha consistently discovers alphas with superior predictive accuracy, robustness, and generalization over existing methods. Our results highlight the promise of aligning evolutionary optimization with LLM-based reasoning for automated and explainable alpha discovery.
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- FactorVAE: A Probabilistic Dynamic Factor Model Based on Variational Autoencoder for Predicting Cross-Sectional Stock ReturnsYitong Duan, Lei Wang, Qizhong Zhang, Jian LiAAAI 2022 · 被引用 95 次
- AlphaEvolve: A Learning Framework to Discover Novel Alphas in Quantitative InvestmentCan Cui, Wei Wang, Meihui Zhang, Gang Chen 等SIGMOD 2021 · 被引用 25 次
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