Amortized Bayesian Experimental Design for Decision-Making
Daolang Huang, Yujia Guo, Luigi Acerbi, Samuel Kaski
Abstract
Many critical decisions, such as personalized medical diagnoses and product pricing, are made based on insights gained from designing, observing, and analyzing a series of experiments. This highlights the crucial role of experimental design, which goes beyond merely collecting information on system parameters as in traditional Bayesian experimental design (BED), but also plays a key part in facilitating downstream decision-making. Most recent BED methods use an amortized policy network to rapidly design experiments. However, the information gathered through these methods is suboptimal for down-the-line decision-making, as the experiments are not inherently designed with downstream objectives in mind. In this paper, we present an amortized decision-aware BED framework that prioritizes maximizing downstream decision utility. We introduce a novel architecture, the Transformer Neural Decision Process (TNDP), capable of instantly proposing the next experimental design, whilst inferring the downstream decision, thus effectively amortizing both tasks within a unified workflow. We demonstrate the performance of our method across several tasks, showing that it can deliver informative designs and facilitate accurate decision-making.
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Install the CLIlune papers fulltext e1ee5c99-2163-42bc-9135-70a10d2ea8cfCited by top-tier papers5
- ALINE: Joint Amortization for Bayesian Inference and Active Data AcquisitionDaolang Huang, Xinyi Wen, Ayush Bharti, Samuel Kaski et al.NeurIPS 2025 · 8 citations
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- Step-DAD: Semi-Amortized Policy-Based Bayesian Experimental DesignMarcel Hedman, Desi R. Ivanova, Cong Guan, Tom RainforthICML 2025
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