TimeStacker: A Novel Framework with Multilevel Observation for Capturing Nonstationary Patterns in Time Series Forecasting
Qinglong Liu, Cong Xu, Wenhao Jiang, Kaixuan Wang, Lin Ma, Haifeng Li
Abstract
Real-world time series inherently exhibit significant non-stationarity, posing substantial challenges for forecasting. To address this issue, this paper proposes a novel prediction framework, TimeStacker, designed to overcome the limitations of existing models in capturing the characteristics of non-stationary signals. By employing a unique stacking mechanism, TimeStacker effectively captures global signal features while thoroughly exploring local details. Furthermore, the framework integrates a frequency-based self-attention module, significantly enhancing its feature modeling capabilities. Experimental results demonstrate that TimeStacker achieves outstanding performance across multiple real-world datasets, including those from the energy, finance, and weather domains. It not only delivers superior predictive accuracy but also exhibits remarkable advantages with fewer parameters and higher computational efficiency.
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