SOLAR for Offline MARL: Plateau-Triggered Potential Shaping under World-Model Uncertainty

Reward shaping can accelerate reinforcement learning, but in sparse-reward offline multi-agent RL it is often brittle: dense intrinsic rewards may alter the underlying Markov game, while world-model guidance can amplify model bias. We find that shaping becomes reliable when it is (i) activated only after statistically validated learning plateaus and (ii) constrained to potential-based shaping, which preserves the task optimum. Motivated by this, we propose SOLAR, a simulate--evaluate--shape framework. A learned world model enables low-cost rollouts to test plateaus; once a plateau is detected, we inject shaping in the form $r+\gamma\Phi(s')-\Phi(s)$ with adaptively updated potentials; and we attenuate shaping using uncertainty-aware throttling in unreliable regions. We provide theoretical analysis on policy invariance and on the deviation of plateau decisions under model error, and establish stability for the resulting two-timescale adaptation. Experiments on sparse-reward offline MARL benchmarks show consistent gains in stability and final performance across dataset qualities.