Bridging Time and Frequency: A Joint Modeling Framework for Irregular Multivariate Time Series Forecasting
Xiangfei Qiu, Kangjia Yan, Xvyuan Liu, Xingjian Wu, Jilin Hu
Abstract
Irregular multivariate time series forecasting (IMTSF) is challenging due to non-uniform sampling and variable asynchronicity. These irregularities violate the equidistant assumptions of standard models, hindering local temporal modeling and rendering classical frequency-domain methods ineffective for capturing global periodic structures. To address this challenge, we propose TFMixer, a joint time-frequency modeling framework for IMTS forecasting. Specifically, TFMixer incorporates a Global Frequency Module that employs a learnable Non-Uniform Discrete Fourier Transform (NUDFT) to directly extract spectral representations from irregular timestamps. In parallel, the Local Time Module introduces a query-based patch mixing mechanism to adaptively aggregate informative temporal patches and alleviate information density imbalance. Finally, TFMixer fuses the time-domain and frequencydomain representations to generate forecasts and further leverages inverse NUDFT for explicit seasonal extrapolation. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate the state-of-theart performance of TFMixer. From a modeling perspective, frequency-domain methods provide a natural and effective mechanism for capturing long-term periodic structures and global dependencies.
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