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Unifying Channel Independence and Mixing: Multi-Scale Patch Recursion for Global-Local Representation Synergy in Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

Wenhao Zhang, Chun Zhang, Wei Bai, Ning Zhang, Changxia Gao, Yuxin Jia, Chenhao Shi, Shaoxiong Pang

2026Year

Abstract

Multivariate time series forecasting underpins applications in finance, meteorology, and industrial operations. Yet two persistent hurdles remain: (i) models typically choose between Channel–Independent (CI) and Channel–Mixed (CM) formulations—each with distinct strengths—leading to large performance variance across datasets; and (ii) short-term dynamics and long-term trends are hard to model jointly, making it difficult to capture both transient bursts and periodic patterns. We propose FusionTimePatch (FTP), a purely MLP-driven, lightweight framework composed of three modules: (1) Dual-View Global–Local Fusion (Dual-GLF), which runs CI and CM views in parallel and employs multi-scale patch recursion to adaptively adjust the look-back window, thereby coupling global tendencies with local details; (2) Channel Enhancement (CE), which adaptively identifies and amplifies salient channel signals and diffuses them to others, improving sensitivity to abrupt events and latent drivers; and (3) a Linear Fusion layer, which unifies Dual-GLF and CE outputs to strengthen cross-view interactions and enhance robustness. Extensive experiments on multiple public benchmarks show FTP consistently surpasses state-of-the-art counterparts in both accuracy and efficiency, offering a scalable new paradigm for multichannel forecasting. Code and datasets are publicly available at https://github.com/Zhveh7/FTP.

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