Stronger Benchmarks for Prediction as a Service with Constraints
Yahav Bechavod, Jiuyao Lu, Aaron Roth
Abstract
We study a learner who sequentially makes and broadcasts predictions of some underlying adversarially varying state. Many downstream decision makers with different goals and different long-term constraints consume these decisions to choose actions. In this setting we give the first algorithm that obtains simultaneous dynamic regret guarantees for all of the decision makers --- where regret for each agent is measured against a potentially changing sequence of actions across rounds of interaction, while also ensuring vanishing constraint violation for each agent. We can promise these dynamic regret bounds not just marginally, but simultaneously on many different intersecting subsequences, which lets decision makers compete with strategies that adapt with both long-term drift and short-term variation. Our results do not require the decision makers to maintain any state, but just to react myopically to our predictions.
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