Choose Your Expert: Uncertainty-Guided Expert Selection for Continual Deepfake Detection

The rapid evolution of deepfake techniques presents dual challenges for detection models: adapting to continuously shifting attack distributions while retaining previously learned knowledge. Although recent continual deepfake detection methods have made progress, they often rely on replay-based training, which limits scalability and deployment. Meanwhile, the task structure of deepfake detection offers a unique opportunity that remains under-explored: it is inherently a binary classification problem with a fixed label space, where the main difficulty lies in distributional drift rather than class expansion. This insight enables the modeling of each incremental distribution shift as a dedicated expert, focusing on specific forgery patterns. To this end, we propose a novel analytically driven, replay-free continual detection framework that eliminates the need for iterative gradient updates. In this framework, task-specific experts are constructed via closed-form ridge regression, requiring only a single forward pass and ensuring non-interference with previous tasks. To enhance the model's capacity for fine-grained forgery recognition, we introduce a lightweight Forgery-Aware Residual Enhancer (FARE). At inference, an Uncertainty-Guided Expert Selection module (UGES) dynamically routes each sample to the most confident expert, which does not require prior knowledge of the attack type. The proposed framework achieves a favorable trade-off between efficiency, privacy, and generalization. It achieves state-of-the-art performance across four benchmark datasets, with an average accuracy of 91.82% and only 1.78% forgetting. Notably, it improves cross-forgery generalization by 9.28% on unseen forgery types, demonstrating strong generalization.