See More, Forecast Better and Faster: Enhancing Time Series Foundation Models via Inference-Time Plug-and-Play Downsampling
Longlong Xu, Zeyan Li, Xiao He, Zhaoyang Yu, Dazhong Wen, Mingze Sun, Changhua Pei, Dan Pei
Abstract
Time series foundation models (TSFMs) have demonstrated impressive generalization capabilities across diverse domains. However, they face significant challenges in long-term and ultra longterm forecasting. These challenges primarily arise from scalability limitations when TSFMs process extensive sequence lengths. To address this, we propose SPRINT, a training-free plug-andplay framework designed to empower TSFMs to see more, forecast better and faster during inference. The core idea is to perform forecasting in a downsampled-resolution space, enabling an extended look-back window with reduced computational costs. To avoid information loss and resolution mismatch caused by downsampling, SPRINT decomposes time series into trend and seasonal components, processing them separately. It predicts the low-frequency trend via a Resolution Interpolation workflow within the downsampled space, while preserving high-frequency details through a Pattern Replication mechanism for seasonality. Extensive experiments show that SPRINT achieves a significant improvement, increasing accuracy by 19% while enhancing efficiency with a reduction of max memory usage by 6.4× and inference time by 16.9× compared to state-of-the-art TSFMs. Code is available at https://github.com/NetManAIOps/ SPRINT.
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Builds on17
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- Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series ForecastingHaixu Wu, Jiehui Xu, Jianmin Wang, Mingsheng LongNeurIPS 2021 · 5,824 citations
- Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?Ailing Zeng, Muxi Chen, Lei Zhang, Qiang XuAAAI 2023 · 3,619 citations
- Reversible Instance Normalization for Accurate Time-Series Forecasting against Distribution ShiftTaesung Kim, Jinhee Kim, Yunwon Tae, Cheonbok Park et al.ICLR 2022 · 1,020 citations
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