AnRe: Analogical Replay for Temporal Knowledge Graph Forecasting

Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) are vital for event prediction, yet current methods face limitations. Graph neural networks mainly depend on structural information, often overlooking semantic understanding and requiring high computational costs. Meanwhile, Large Language Models (LLMs) support zero-shot reasoning but lack sufficient capabilities to grasp the laws of historical event development. To tackle these challenges, we introduce a training-free Analogical Replay (AnRe) reasoning framework. Our approach retrieves similar events for queries through semantic-driven clustering and builds comprehensive historical contexts using a dual history extraction module that integrates long-term and short-term history. It then uses LLMs to generate analogical reasoning examples as contextual inputs, enabling the model to deeply understand historical patterns of similar events and improve its ability to predict unknown ones. Our experiments on four benchmarks show that AnRe significantly exceeds traditional training and existing LLMbased methods. Further ablation studies also confirm the effectiveness of the dual history extraction and analogical replay mechanisms.