Symmetric Aggregation of Conformity Scores for Efficient Uncertainty Sets
Nabil Alami, Jad Zakharia, Souhaib Ben Taieb
Abstract
Access to multiple predictive models trained for the same task, whether in regression or classification, is increasingly common in many applications. Aggregating their predictive uncertainties to produce reliable and efficient uncertainty quantification is therefore a critical but still underexplored challenge, especially within the framework of conformal prediction (CP). While CP methods can generate individual prediction sets from each model, combining them into a single, more informative set remains a challenging problem. To address this, we propose SACP (Symmetric Aggregated Conformal Prediction), a novel method that aggregates nonconformity scores from multiple predictors. SACP transforms these scores into e-values and combines them using any symmetric aggregation function. This flexible design enables a robust, data-driven framework for selecting aggregation strategies that yield sharper prediction sets. We also provide theoretical insights that help justify the validity and performance of the SACP approach. Extensive experiments on diverse datasets show that SACP consistently improves efficiency and often outperforms state-of-the-art model aggregation baselines.
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Install the CLIlune papers fulltext 48d950e4-e868-4534-95f1-fc26d4bd3663Cited by top-tier papers3
- Set-Preserving Calibration from Conformal P-Values to E-ValuesNabil Alami, Jad Zakharia, Souhaib Ben TaiebICML 2026 · 1 citation
- Improving Backward Conformal Prediction via Non-Conformity Score TransformationJunxian Liu, Hao Zeng, Hongxin WeiICML 2026
- CAOS: Conformal Aggregation of One-Shot PredictorsMaja WaldronICML 2026
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- Optimal transport-based conformal predictionGauthier Thurin, Kimia Nadjahi, Claire BoyerICML 2025
- A Unified Comparative Study with Generalized Conformity Scores for Multi-Output Conformal RegressionVictor Dheur, Matteo Fontana, Yorick Estievenart, Naomi Desobry et al.ICML 2025
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