Noisy-Channel Minimum Bayes Risk Decoding

Minimum Bayes Risk (MBR) decoding yields more robust and higher-quality text generation than maximum a posteriori (MAP) decoding by selecting hypotheses that maximize expected utility over sampled pseudo-references. However, there exists a discrepancy in the design: hypothesis selection calculates expected utility scores conditioned on given pseudo-references, while commonly used evaluation metrics, e.g., BLEU and COMET, are asymmetric. Therefore, it is important to consider both hypothesis-to-reference and reference-to-hypothesis directional effects. In this study, we introduce a noisy channel decomposition of MBR decoding that naturally incorporates bidirectional effects to account for these asymmetries. We decompose MBR decoding into four interacting components: hypothesis-to-reference likelihood, reference-to-hypothesis likelihood, hypothesis prior, and reference prior. This decomposition provides a unified interpretation of existing MBR variants and enables metric- and task-specific interpretability by isolating the contribution of each channel. Our comprehensive analysis reveals that channel-wise contributions exhibit distinct characteristics across metrics while remaining consistent across tasks, and suggests that appropriate channel weighting may lead to improvements over original MBR decoding.