Fredformer: Frequency Debiased Transformer for Time Series Forecasting
Xihao Piao, Zheng Chen, Taichi Murayama, Yasuko Matsubara, Yasushi Sakurai
Abstract
The Transformer model has shown leading performance in time series forecasting. Nevertheless, in some complex scenarios, it tends to learn low-frequency features in the data and overlook highfrequency features, showing a frequency bias. This bias prevents the model from accurately capturing important high-frequency data features. In this paper, we undertake empirical analyses to understand this bias and discover that frequency bias results from the model disproportionately focusing on frequency features with higher energy. Based on our analysis, we formulate this bias and propose Fredformer, a Transformer-based framework designed to mitigate frequency bias by learning features equally across different frequency bands. This approach prevents the model from overlooking lower amplitude features important for accurate forecasting. Extensive experiments show the effectiveness of our proposed approach, which can outperform other baselines in different real-world time-series datasets. Furthermore, we introduce a lightweight variant of the Fredformer with an attention matrix approximation, which achieves comparable performance but with much fewer parameters and lower computation costs. The code is available at: https://github.com/chenzRG/Fredformer CCS CONCEPTS • Computing methodologies → Artificial intelligence; Neural networks.
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Cited by top-tier papers24
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Builds on21
- Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series ForecastingHaoyi Zhou, Shanghang Zhang, Jieqi Peng, Shuai Zhang et al.AAAI 2021 · 7,289 citations
- Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series ForecastingHaixu Wu, Jiehui Xu, Jianmin Wang, Mingsheng LongNeurIPS 2021 · 5,824 citations
- Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?Ailing Zeng, Muxi Chen, Lei Zhang, Qiang XuAAAI 2023 · 3,619 citations
- FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series ForecastingTian Zhou, Ziqing Ma, Qingsong Wen, Xue Wang et al.ICML 2022 · 2,912 citations
- Connecting the Dots: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Graph Neural NetworksZonghan Wu, Shirui Pan, Guodong Long, Jing Jiang et al.KDD 2020 · 1,738 citations
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