Learning Perturbations to Explain Time Series Predictions
Joseph Enguehard
Abstract
Explaining predictions based on multivariate time series data carries the additional difficulty of handling not only multiple features, but also time dependencies. It matters not only what happened, but also when, and the same feature could have a very different impact on a prediction depending on this time information. Previous work has used perturbation-based saliency methods to tackle this issue, perturbing an input using a trainable mask to discover which features at which times are driving the predictions. However these methods introduce fixed perturbations, inspired from similar methods on static data, while there seems to be little motivation to do so on temporal data. In this work, we aim to explain predictions by learning not only masks, but also associated perturbations. We empirically show that learning these perturbations significantly improves the quality of these explanations on time series data.
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Cited by top-tier papers12
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- Explaining Time Series via Contrastive and Locally Sparse PerturbationsZichuan Liu, Yingying Zhang, Tianchun Wang, Zefan Wang et al.ICLR 2024 · 26 citations
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- Delta-XAI: A Unified Framework for Explaining Prediction Changes in Online Time Series MonitoringChanghun Kim, Yechan Mun, Hyeongwon Jang, Eunseo Lee et al.ICLR 2026 · 2 citations
Builds on3
- Understanding Deep Networks via Extremal Perturbations and Smooth MasksRuth Fong, Mandela Patrick, Andrea VedaldiICCV 2019 · 480 citations
- Explaining Time Series Predictions with Dynamic MasksJonathan Crabbé, Mihaela van der SchaarICML 2021 · 115 citations
- What went wrong and when? Instance-wise feature importance for time-series black-box modelsSana Tonekaboni, Shalmali Joshi, Kieran Campbell, David Duvenaud et al.NeurIPS 2020 · 94 citations
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