Where to Go Next: Enhancing Zero-Shot Capability for Cross-City Mobility Prediction
Tianao Sun, Kai Zhao, Weiming Huang, Ziqiang Yu, Meng Chen
Abstract
Next location prediction models support applications such as personalized recommendations and demand forecasting. In practice, deploying these models in a new city is expensive, as they often require substantial historical mobility data and costly retraining. A more scalable setting is zero-shot cross-city prediction: train in one city and deploy in another without collecting target-city trajectories. However, existing methods are largely city-bound, where their inputs and outputs are tied to city-specific identifiers, so performance collapses when the city changes. To address this issue, in this paper, we propose ReLoX, a framework for enhancing zero-shot capability for cross-city mobility prediction. ReLoX combines an anchor-centered relative trajectory representation with a local egocentric image that captures nearby spatial relations and semantics. A dual-encoder architecture extracts sequential and visual cues and fuses them via a gated hierarchical module for accurate prediction. For within-city use, ReLoX further adds a lightweight global context branch to handle long-range moves better, while cross-city zero-shot inference uses the local-window predictor without any target-city adaptation. Experiments on large-scale mobility data across three cities show that ReLoX remains competitive within cities and achieves substantial gains under cross-city zero-shot protocols, where city-bound baselines largely fail.
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