EvolveGraph: Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction with Dynamic Relational Reasoning
Jiachen Li, Fan Yang, Masayoshi Tomizuka, Chiho Choi
Abstract
Multi-agent interacting systems are prevalent in the world, from purely physical systems to complicated social dynamic systems. In many applications, effective understanding of the situation and accurate trajectory prediction of interactive agents play a significant role in downstream tasks, such as decision making and planning. In this paper, we propose a generic trajectory forecasting framework (named EvolveGraph) with explicit relational structure recognition and prediction via latent interaction graphs among multiple heterogeneous, interactive agents. Considering the uncertainty of future behaviors, the model is designed to provide multi-modal prediction hypotheses. Since the underlying interactions may evolve even with abrupt changes, and different modalities of evolution may lead to different outcomes, we address the necessity of dynamic relational reasoning and adaptively evolving the interaction graphs. We also introduce a double-stage training pipeline which not only improves training efficiency and accelerates convergence, but also enhances model performance. The proposed framework is evaluated on both synthetic physics simulations and multiple real-world benchmark datasets in various areas. The experimental results illustrate that our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance in terms of prediction accuracy.
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Builds on9
- Learning to Simulate Complex Physics with Graph NetworksAlvaro Sanchez-Gonzalez, Jonathan Godwin, Tobias Pfaff, Rex Ying et al.ICML 2020 · 1,439 citations
- EvolveGCN: Evolving Graph Convolutional Networks for Dynamic GraphsAldo Pareja, Giacomo Domeniconi, Jie Chen, Tengfei Ma et al.AAAI 2020 · 1,429 citations
- Spectral Temporal Graph Neural Network for Multivariate Time-series ForecastingDefu Cao, Yujing Wang, Juanyong Duan, Ce Zhang et al.NeurIPS 2020 · 841 citations
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