WWW2026
Credit and Power Co-evolution Modeling with Dynamic Graph Learning
Wenhao Ying, Peng Zhu, Mingzhe Li, Ziyan Wang, Dawei Cheng
摘要
Accurate enterprise power consumption forecasting is not only a core component of optimized green energy management but also a key support for promoting the coordinated development of a sustainable society and the digital economy. The temporal fluctuations in power consumption reflect an enterprise's production activity and operational resilience, while credit assessment combined with Web data reveals a two-way coupling relationship between it and energy use: credit changes influence financing and power consumption strategies, while energy anomalies may become early signals of credit risk. However, existing methods still have shortcomings in modeling the co-evolution of Web data and power data. Most models only focus on static or unidirectional correlations, making it difficult to capture the dynamic feedback between credit risk and power consumption; traditional multi-task learning frameworks often rely on parameter sharing or simple attention mechanisms, lacking consistency constraints across time scales and network structures. To address this, this paper proposes CPDGL, a credit-electricity co-evolution framework based on dynamic graph learning, which simultaneously performs power forecasting and credit risk assessment within a unified multi-task system. Its co-evolution path interaction module explicitly models the feedback loop between credit dynamics and power behavior, learning bidirectional causal relationships through an adaptive influence matrix; the semantic path aggregation module integrates static and dynamic features, strengthening cross-modal expression and global reasoning capabilities. Large-scale experiments conducted in a real-world enterprise environment of one of the world's largest power suppliers demonstrate that CPDGL achieves state-of-the-art performance in both power forecasting and credit assessment tasks. The results validate its broad applicability in multi-source Web data fusion scenarios, significantly improving forecasting accuracy and dispatch efficiency in clean energy management, and showcasing practical value and social impact in smart cities and sustainable development.