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EMNLP Findings2025

FinHEAR: Human Expertise and Adaptive Risk-Aware Temporal Reasoning for Financial Decision-Making

Jiaxiang Chen, Mingxi Zou, Zhuo Wang, Qifan Wang, Danny Dongning Sun, Zhang Chi, Zenglin Xu

摘要

Financial decision-making presents unique challenges for language models, demanding temporal reasoning, adaptive risk assessment, and responsiveness to dynamic events. While large language models (LLMs) show strong general reasoning capabilities, they often fail to capture behavioral patterns central to human financial decisions-such as expert reliance under information asymmetry, loss-averse sensitivity, and feedback-driven temporal adjustment. We propose FinHEAR, a multi-agent framework for Human Expertise and Adaptive Risk-aware reasoning. FinHEAR orchestrates specialized LLM-based agents to analyze historical trends, interpret current events, and retrieve expert-informed precedents within an event-centric pipeline. Grounded in behavioral economics, it incorporates expert-guided retrieval, confidence-adjusted position sizing, and outcome-based refinement to enhance interpretability and robustness. Empirical results on curated financial datasets show that Fin-HEAR consistently outperforms strong baselines across trend prediction and trading tasks, achieving higher accuracy and better riskadjusted returns. The code 1 is now publicly accessible.

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它引用的 Paper7

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  2. Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language ModelsXuezhi Wang, Jason Wei, Dale Schuurmans, Quoc V. Le 等ICLR 2023 · 681 次引用
  3. TimesNet: Temporal 2D-Variation Modeling for General Time Series AnalysisHaixu Wu, Tengge Hu, Yong Liu, Hang Zhou 等ICLR 2023 · 423 次引用
  4. Using an LLM to Help With Code UnderstandingDaye Nam, Andrew Macvean, Vincent J. Hellendoorn, Bogdan Vasilescu 等ICSE 2024 · 264 次引用
  5. Automatic Chain of Thought Prompting in Large Language ModelsZhuosheng Zhang, Aston Zhang, Mu Li, Alex SmolaICLR 2023 · 234 次引用

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