NeurIPS2025

Statistical inference for Linear Stochastic Approximation with Markovian Noise

Sergey Samsonov, Marina Sheshukova, Eric Moulines, Alexey Naumov

7 citations

Abstract

In this paper we derive non-asymptotic Berry-Esseen bounds for Polyak-Ruppert averaged iterates of the Linear Stochastic Approximation (LSA) algorithm driven by the Markovian noise. Our analysis yields O(n1/4)\mathcal{O}(n^{-1/4}) convergence rates to the Gaussian limit in the Kolmogorov distance. We further establish the non-asymptotic validity of a multiplier block bootstrap procedure for constructing the confidence intervals, guaranteeing consistent inference under Markovian sampling. Our work provides the first non-asymptotic guarantees on the rate of convergence of bootstrap-based confidence intervals for stochastic approximation with Markov noise. Moreover, we recover the classical rate of order O(n1/8)\mathcal{O}(n^{-1/8}) up to logarithmic factors for estimating the asymptotic variance of the iterates of the LSA algorithm.