Methods and Analysis of The First Competition in Predicting Generalization of Deep Learning

Deep learning has been recently successfully applied to an ever larger number of problems, ranging from pattern recognition to complex decision making. However, several concerns have been raised, including guarantees of good generalization, which is of foremost importance. Despite numerous attempts, conventional statistical learning approaches fall short of providing a satisfactory explanation on why deep learning works. In a competition hosted at the Thirty-Fourth Conference on Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS 2020), we invited the community to design robust and general complexity measures that can accurately predict the generalization of models. In this paper, we describe † Members of the top three teams * Partly done while at Google ‡ Partly done while at IMT Atlantique § Now at Apple © 2021 Y. Jiang et al. The PGDL Competition the competition design, the protocols, and the solutions of the top-three teams at the competition in details. In addition, we discuss the outcomes, common failure modes, and potential future directions for the competition.